Controlled demonstration: non-operational reference data are visibly labelled; disable demo mode only after editorial and data approval.
Scenario and stress-testing laboratory
Scenario outputs are decision-support estimates and must state assumptions and uncertainty.
{
"scenarios": {
"Coordinated green investment surge": {
"description": "A sustained investment wave accelerates clean energy, grids, mobility, adaptation and industrial transition.",
"pillar_impacts": {
"Sustainability, Resources & Environment": 8,
"Economy, Trade & Competitiveness": 3,
"Urban Systems & Connectivity": 5,
"Science, Innovation & Technology Frontiers": 3,
"Future Readiness & Adaptability": 2
},
"region_impacts": {
"Africa": 2,
"Asia": 1,
"Europe": 1,
"Middle East": 0,
"North America": 1,
"South America": 2,
"Oceania": 1
}
},
"Global trade fragmentation": {
"description": "Strategic blocs deepen controls, duplicate supply chains and reduce cross-bloc exchange.",
"pillar_impacts": {
"Economy, Trade & Competitiveness": -8,
"Science, Innovation & Technology Frontiers": -4,
"Peace, Security & Resilience": -2,
"Governance, Diplomacy & Global Role": -5,
"Future Readiness & Adaptability": -3
},
"region_impacts": {
"Africa": -3,
"Asia": -4,
"Europe": -3,
"Middle East": -2,
"North America": -2,
"South America": -2,
"Oceania": -2
}
},
"AI productivity acceleration": {
"description": "Reliable lower-cost AI diffuses through services, industry, science, education and government.",
"pillar_impacts": {
"Science, Innovation & Technology Frontiers": 9,
"Economy, Trade & Competitiveness": 6,
"Human Development & Institutions": 3,
"Urban Systems & Connectivity": 3,
"Future Readiness & Adaptability": 7
},
"region_impacts": {
"Africa": 1,
"Asia": 3,
"Europe": 3,
"Middle East": 2,
"North America": 4,
"South America": 1,
"Oceania": 2
}
},
"Compound climate shock": {
"description": "Concurrent heat, drought, flood and food-price shocks strain systems and fiscal capacity.",
"pillar_impacts": {
"Sustainability, Resources & Environment": -11,
"Human Development & Institutions": -5,
"Economy, Trade & Competitiveness": -4,
"Urban Systems & Connectivity": -6,
"Peace, Security & Resilience": -3,
"Future Readiness & Adaptability": -2
},
"region_impacts": {
"Africa": -5,
"Asia": -4,
"Europe": -2,
"Middle East": -5,
"North America": -2,
"South America": -4,
"Oceania": -2
}
},
"Multilateral renewal": {
"description": "Major and middle powers rebuild practical cooperation around health, climate, finance, trade and technology.",
"pillar_impacts": {
"Governance, Diplomacy & Global Role": 10,
"Peace, Security & Resilience": 5,
"Economy, Trade & Competitiveness": 4,
"Sustainability, Resources & Environment": 4,
"Future Readiness & Adaptability": 3
},
"region_impacts": {
"Africa": 3,
"Asia": 2,
"Europe": 2,
"Middle East": 2,
"North America": 2,
"South America": 3,
"Oceania": 2
}
}
}
}