Scenario-based planetary outlook
SIID Climate Clock™
All countdowns are scenario-based scientific estimates. Zero means estimated budget exhaustion under stated assumptions, not an instantaneous catastrophe or irreversible deadline.
3.9estimated years
1.5°C pathway · 67%
160 GtCO₂ remaining at 41 GtCO₂/year
8.8estimated years
1.7°C pathway · 67%
360 GtCO₂ remaining at 41 GtCO₂/year
18.5estimated years
2°C pathway · 67%
760 GtCO₂ remaining at 41 GtCO₂/year
Earth-system and action indicators
Observed warming
1.3 °C
RisingAtmospheric CO₂
427 ppm
RisingSea-level trend
4.5 mm/year
RisingGlobal mitigation progress
38 % of indicative pathway
Improving slowlyAdaptation readiness
44 index/100
Mixed